FACULTY OF THE SOCIAL SCIENCES

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Author: search.filters.author.Oyinlola, M. A.Subject: search.filters.subject.Economic growth

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    Financial Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Evidence from Threshold Modelling
    (Elsevier Ltd, 2015) Adeniyi, O. A.; Oyinlola, M. A.; Omisakin, O.; Egwaikhide, F. O.
    This paper re-examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Nigeria. Unlike existing studies, we attempted to assess the information content of non-linearities in the finance–growth nexus for Nigeria. We also attempted to inventively gauge the impact of financial reforms on the Nigerian economy particularly in terms of economic growth. Using annual data covering the period 1960–2010, we factored in threshold effects through the financial development (FD) measures. Following these, we unearth a number of interesting results. First, financial development negatively impacted growth but a sign reversal resulted on accounting for threshold-type effects. This is indicative of some turning points in the finance–growth association. Second, using a composite index of FD led to a similar outcome. Third, on the heels of sample splitting, the coefficients for the pre- and post-reform era are hardly distinguishable casting doubt on the efficacy of financial system reforms. On the basis of the foregoing, broader structural reforms should pervade Nigeria’s policy space if the aim of sustained, inclusive and employment-generating growth is to be realized.
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    Financial System Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
    (West African Institue of Financial Economic Managemnt, 2016) Egwaikhide, F. O.; Oyinlola, M. A.; Omisakin, O.; Adeniyi, O. A.
    This paper contributes to the age-old debate on the link between financial development and economic growth by examining the role of monetary policy. There is a possibility that monetary policy enhances financial system performance with attendant impact on growth. To unveil this influence, this paper employs fixed effects and System GMM on data from 28 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1996 to 2014. Results from the baseline estimation using fixed effects indicate that financial development indicators are negatively and significantly associated with growth for two of the three measures used (LGDP and PGDP), while money growth is positively related albeit insignificantly. The results largely remain the same on interaction with money growth. The coefficients of the interactive terms though largely negative are, however, not significant. The results from System GMM presents a different outcome. First, all measures of financial development turn out positive (except BBD) and insignificant. Financial development equally turns negative but insignificant after interacting with money growth. Overall, monetary policy measures, together with their interactions with financial development indicators, show up as weak growth predictors if not dampening, suggestive of the plausible independence of the nexus on the actions of monetary authorities in these countries.
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    Financial System Development and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
    (West African Institue of Financial Economic Managemnt, 2016) Egwaikhide, F. O.; Oyinlola, M. A.; Omisakin, O.; Adeniyi, O. A
    This paper contributes to the age-old debate on the link between financial development and economic growth by examining the role of monetary policy. There is a possibility that monetary policy enhances financial system performance with attendant impact on growth. To unveil this influence, this paper employs fixed effects and System GMM on data from 28 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 1996 to 2014. Results from the baseline estimation using fixed effects indicate that financial development indicators are negatively and significantly associated with growth for two of the three measures used (LGDP and PGDP), while money growth is positively related albeit insignificantly. The results largely remain the same on interaction with money growth. The coefficients of the interactive terms though largely negative are, however, not significant. The results from System GMM presents a different outcome. First, all measures of financial development turn out positive (except BBD) and insignificant. Financial development equally turns negative but insignificant after interacting with money growth. Overall, monetary policy measures, together with their interactions with financial development indicators, show up as weak growth predictors if not dampening, suggestive of the plausible independence of the nexus on the actions of monetary authorities in these countries.